👥 Digital twins: AI-powered virtual patients, real results

From drug discovery to personalised care, digital twins are transforming medicine

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Welcome back to Healthy Innovations! 👋

Healthy Innovations is the newsletter for forward-looking healthcare leaders who want to learn about the latest advances in this fast-paced industry. From AI-powered diagnostics to revolutionary gene therapies, I will highlight the fascinating breakthroughs reshaping healthcare and explain what this means for you, your business, and the wider community.

In this issue of Healthy Innovations, we're exploring how digital twin technology - originally developed by NASA for space missions - is innovating healthcare and drug development. From transforming clinical trials to enabling truly personalized medicine, these virtual replicas are reshaping how we approach patient care.

So, let's dive in and meet your virtual health double!

A digital twin is a virtual copy of a real-world object, process, or system that uses live data to simulate, predict, and optimize its performance in real-time.

Remember when computer simulations were just simplified models of reality? Today's human digital twins represent a quantum leap forward - they're sophisticated AI-powered computational replicas that can predict health outcomes with remarkable precision.

By incorporating everything from genetic makeup and molecular data to environmental factors and lifestyle habits, these virtual copies can simulate disease mechanisms and treatment responses with unprecedented accuracy.

Unlike traditional computer models, these AI-powered simulations continuously learn and adapt based on real-world data, creating an ever-evolving virtual replica that becomes more precise over time.

Transforming drug development at lightning speed

The impact on drug discovery has been nothing short of revolutionary. Traditional drug development is a lengthy, expensive, and risky process, typically taking 10-15 years and costing over $1 billion to bring a single drug to market. Digital twins are dramatically reshaping this timeline.

In 2024, Insilico Medicine made headlines by advancing a fibrosis drug to Phase II clinical trials in just 30 months - slashing the typical 4-5 year timeline by more than half. Their AI-powered digital twins simulate complex molecular interactions and patient responses, transforming the traditionally lengthy drug development process into a rapid, data-driven endeavor. Through virtual testing of thousands of potential compounds, researchers can now identify promising candidates and potential issues before expensive clinical trials begin.

The integration of digital twins throughout the drug development pipeline - from initial target identification to patient stratification - marks a fundamental shift in how we discover new treatments. This approach not only reduces costs but also improves success rates by identifying potential issues early in the process.

Reinventing clinical trials with virtual populations

Perhaps the most impressive breakthrough comes from companies like Unlearn, whose "digital twin generators" are fundamentally changing how we conduct clinical trials. Their technology has achieved remarkable results in Alzheimer's research, reducing control group sizes by up to 33% - a game-changing development for both cost and efficiency.

Unlearn

These virtual patients aren't just data points; they're sophisticated models that can predict treatment responses across multiple conditions, from cancer to rheumatoid arthritis. By creating virtual patient populations that work in tandem with real participants, researchers can:

  • Reduce the number of patients needed in control groups

  • Test multiple treatment variations simultaneously

  • Predict potential side effects before they occur in real patients

  • Accelerate trial timelines while maintaining scientific rigor

  • Make rare disease research more feasible by supplementing limited patient populations

The future is personal: Digital twins in patient care

Another game-changer lies in personalization. Modern digital twins integrate real-time health monitoring, genetic information, environmental factors, and lifestyle data to create unprecedented precision in treatment planning. This comprehensive approach enables healthcare providers to:

  • Fine-tune medication dosages based on individual patient profiles

  • Predict potential adverse reactions before they occur

  • Monitor treatment effectiveness in real-time

  • Adjust intervention strategies based on patient response

  • Detect early warning signs of health complications

Twin Health has already demonstrated this potential in diabetes care, where their digital twin technology significantly improved glycemic control while reducing medication dependence over a one-year period (See Fig). Their system processes data from multiple sources, including continuous glucose monitors, fitness trackers, and dietary logs, to create personalized treatment recommendations that adapt to each patient's unique needs.

Participants taking type 2 diabetes medications after one year of Digital Twin Intervention. Shamanna, P., Erukulapati, R.S., Shukla, A. et al. One-year outcomes of a digital twin intervention for type 2 diabetes: a retrospective real-world study. Sci Rep 14, 25478 (2024).

Beyond physical health

The technology is evolving to encompass both physical and psychological aspects of health. These advanced digital twins can process vast amounts of data from multiple sources, including wearable devices, environmental sensors, medical records, genetic data, behavioral patterns, and social determinants of health. This holistic approach could revolutionize treatment for complex conditions that bridge mental and physical health.

One particularly promising application is in psychiatric medicine, where digital twins can help simulate how different medications might affect an individual's brain chemistry based on their unique genetic makeup and environmental factors. This could dramatically improve the often challenging process of finding the right psychiatric medication for individual patients, reducing the trial-and-error approach that many patients endure.

🔮 Looking ahead: Challenges and opportunities

While 2025 promises exciting advances in digital twin technology, significant hurdles remain. Key challenges include:

  • Ensuring robust data privacy and security measures

  • Developing standardized protocols for system interoperability

  • Navigating complex regulatory requirements

  • Validating digital twin accuracy across diverse populations

  • Managing the computational resources required for complex simulations

However, the potential benefits - from faster drug development to personalized treatment plans - make this a technology worth watching closely. As AI capabilities continue to advance and our understanding of human biology deepens, digital twins will likely become an increasingly integral part of healthcare delivery, research, and innovation.

The convergence of AI and digital twins promises to accelerate medical discovery and improve patient outcomes in ways we couldn't imagine just a few years ago. For healthcare providers, researchers, and patients alike, this technology represents not just an evolution, but a revolution in how we approach health and medicine.

Innovation highlights

🧠 Brain protection breakthrough: Spanish researchers have uncovered an exciting lead in the fight against cognitive decline. A molecule activating cannabinoid receptors has shown remarkable ability to restore memory in early-stage neurodegeneration. The team demonstrated that WIN55,212-2 not only protects the brain but reverses cognitive damage by boosting crucial memory-related neurotransmitters. While this specific molecule can't be commercialized, researchers are developing similar compounds for potential Alzheimer's treatments.

🩸 AI catches Covid hiding in kids' blood: Italian researchers have discovered that AI can detect long Covid in children with 93% accuracy using blood markers. Published in Pediatric Research, the study found elevated pro-inflammatory proteins in pediatric long Covid cases - proving it's an organic immune-mediated disease. This breakthrough paves the way for faster diagnosis and better treatment options for the estimated 0.5% of children who develop long Covid after SARS-CoV-2 infection.

🧬 Youth liver cancer decoded: Scientists at Rockefeller University have identified a unique genetic signature in fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma (FLC), a rare liver cancer affecting young people. By analyzing over 1,400 tumors, researchers pinpointed 301 genes expressed differently in FLC, 35 of which are completely unique to this cancer type. The research not only offers hope for FLC patients but could also provide a blueprint for treating other rare cancers.

AI joins anti-aging quest: OpenAI and longevity startup Retro Biosciences have developed GPT-4b micro, an AI model targeting the re-engineering of Yamanaka factors - proteins that can transform skin cells into stem cells. This collaboration aims to extend human lifespan by 10 years through potential organ building and cell replacement. The model represents OpenAI's first venture into biological research, differentiating itself from Google's AlphaFold by focusing on protein engineering rather than prediction.

Cool tool

🎨 Napkin AI turns your words into stunning visuals in seconds. This free tool lets you instantly transform text into professional mind maps, flowcharts, infographics, and over 30 other types of graphics. Whether you need to visualize a complex process, present data, or map out ideas, simply paste your text and let the AI do the heavy lifting. It works seamlessly with Google Docs and Microsoft Word, making it perfect for quick presentations or social media content. While still in beta, it's already becoming a go-to tool for anyone who wants to create engaging visuals without design skills.

Napkin

Company to watch

Recursion Pharmaceuticals is a biotech company combining AI with advanced experimental biology to speed up drug discovery. Founded in 2013, their proprietary Recursion OS platform merges machine learning and high-throughput experimentation to map cellular biology and find potential treatments. This approach lets them explore drug candidates for both rare and common diseases more efficiently than traditional methods. Through partnerships with companies like Roche, Bayer, and NVIDIA, they've expanded their technological capabilities. Their pipeline features promising drug candidates for conditions including B-cell malignancies, small-cell lung cancer, cerebral cavernous malformation and neurofibromatosis type 2.

“Reshaping the drug discovery funnel. Recursion’s goal is to leverage technology to reshape the typical drug discovery funnel towards its ideal state by moving failure as early as possible to rapidly narrowing the funnel into programs with the highest probability of success.”

Weird and wonderful

😫 AI feels the pain: In a curious twist, Google DeepMind researchers created "pain games" for AI language models, asking them to choose between scoring points or experiencing simulated "pain." Different AIs showed varying responses, with Google's Gemini consistently avoiding "pain" despite lower scores. While we're far from truly sentient AI, it's fascinating to see scientists explore the boundaries of artificial consciousness.

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Thank you for reading the Healthy Innovations newsletter!

Keep an eye out for next week’s issue, where I will highlight the healthcare innovations you need to know about.

Have a great week! Alison ✨

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